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Where Ecommerce Profit Really Comes From

Ecommerce is getting pulled in two directions at once. On one side: TikTok Shop is expanding across Europe and discovery ecommerce is accelerating. On the other: big players like Walmart are proving that “agentic shopping” can lift AOV - but most stores still don’t even nail the basics of cart and checkout upsells.
4 min. to read /
Published: June 19 2026
Author: Damian Lewandowicz

TL;DR

  • TikTok Shop launched in new European markets (including Poland) and is now in 10 European markets total.
  • TikTok frames this as discovery ecommerce: content first, purchase second - and LIVE shopping is a key behavior shift.
  • Walmart says users of its Sparky AI shopping agent show ~35% higher AOV, and weekly active users are up 100%+ quarter over quarter.
  • AOV growth isn’t one tactic - it’s testing placements and formats (product page, cart, checkout, post purchase).
  • The 2026 eComFuel report suggests paid traffic is table stakes, but profit often gets decided by product economics and overhead.
  • 72% of stores adopted AI with no measurable financial advantage (yet) - AI is still often “process,” not “profit.”

TikTok Shop is expanding - and it’s not “optional” anymore

TikTok Shop expanded into several new European markets - including Austria, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Poland - and now operates across 10 European markets total.

That matters not just because it’s another channel. It matters because TikTok keeps pushing a specific model of ecommerce: discovery ecommerce.

Not search first. Not “I need a product, I’ll Google it.”

More like: content → curiosity → impulse → purchase.

And that changes what wins.

If you’re a B2C brand, the message from the conversation was clear: this is not a channel you “might” try someday. It’s an additional channel that you should at least explore - especially if you’re in markets that just got access.

A big part of this shift is LIVE shopping. It’s content, selling, and real time feedback in one place. It’s also a different customer environment - more natural and more content heavy - which is exactly why it can work even when other channels feel stuck.

We’re moving from social media to “interest media”

One of the sharpest points in the episode was the idea that we don’t really live in “social media time” anymore.

We live in interest media time.

Meaning: you can get reach even without followers.

You don’t need a huge list. You don’t need years of audience building. You can start today, and if the content hits, you can get traction tomorrow.

That mechanism fuels social shopping.

And it also explains why TikTok can drive outsized outcomes: creators (and algorithms) can distribute a product narrative far beyond a brand’s own audience.

Walmart’s AI agent is a reminder: most stores still ignore AOV

Walmart shared that customers using its Sparky AI shopping agent have an AOV about 35% higher than non users, with weekly active users up 100%+ quarter over quarter.

But the biggest takeaway wasn’t “Walmart has AI.”

It was: AOV is a lever most stores still leave untouched.

A lot of stores have 20, 30, 40, 50 SKUs - and yet only a handful drive the majority of revenue. That’s normal.

The missed opportunity is what happens next.

If you can add a small, relevant add on - even $10 or $20 - across thousands of monthly orders, it stacks into real revenue. And a lot of the time, it’s an impulse buy when it’s framed correctly.

And you don’t need a Walmart budget to start.

The episode pointed to practical ways to do it:

  • Use chatbot style recommendations.
  • Use historical purchase patterns: what people buy together, what products supplement each other.
  • Review your store from third person perspective: product → cart → checkout → post purchase.

Because if the experience makes it hard to add more, AOV won’t move.

AOV is hard - because it’s not one pattern, it’s many

The conversation also made an important nuance: AOV is one of the harder metrics to grow.

Not because it’s impossible - but because different customers respond to different mechanisms.

  • Sometimes a simple cross sell works.
  • Sometimes it’s better to bundle.
  • Sometimes recommendations should appear on the product page.
  • Sometimes later in cart.
  • Sometimes even after purchase - a quick window offer like: order this within the next two hours and we’ll add it to your shipment.

The point wasn’t “pick the perfect tactic.”

The point was: test placements and formats until you find what works for your store.

“Uniquely human” work is not a motivational quote - it’s a strategy

The podcast segment on Angus Fletcher brought a useful frame:

AI and humans aren’t really competing, because they work differently.

  • AI is strong when there’s lots of data and clear patterns to optimize.
  • Humans are strong when there’s low data, messy signals, and decisions under uncertainty.

Or said another way: computers optimize. Humans create.

And that matters in ecommerce because a lot of “growth” work is not clean data. It’s anomalies. It’s exceptions. It’s judgment.

If you delegate the wrong work to the wrong brain, both fail.

So the practical move isn’t to “use AI everywhere.”

It’s to build synergy: let AI handle pattern heavy labeling, summarizing, analysis - and keep human energy for novelty, intuition, and decisions in murky environments.

The 2026 eComFuel report: paid traffic isn’t the villain - it’s the baseline

The biggest segment was the 2026 eComFuel report (300 owners, $3.5B combined revenue). The conversation pulled out a few uncomfortable truths.

  • Paid traffic is table stakes.
  • Winners aren’t necessarily winning because of better ROAS. In the notes, the “heavy paid” group averaged around 2.5x ROAS - not magic.

So what separates outcomes?

The conversation leaned into the idea that profit killers are often not ads. They’re product economics and overhead.

In other words: stop blaming ad costs by default. Audit your P&L structure.

And one more interesting point:

  • 72% of stores adopted AI with no measurable financial advantage.
  • Yet AI is still a top priority going forward.

That fits reality: for many teams, AI is currently an experimentation and process improvement phase — not a direct revenue lever.

Closing thought: make ecommerce healthy again

If you put the episode into one theme, it’s this:

Make your ecommerce business healthier.

  • Try new channels (TikTok Shop).
  • Build systems to lift AOV.
  • Use AI where it truly fits (data rich tasks).
  • Take financial fluency seriously - because “growth” without understanding the business underneath becomes fragile fast.

About author:
Damian Lewandowicz
The Ecom Growth Partner You Want to Talk To
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Matt Wis
Co-Founder @Emailtize | 🎙 Host of The Quiet Work
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